The price of HBAR is attempting to stabilize around $0.102. It has risen about 7% since late January but remains down nearly 8% over the past week. The underlying structure for a potential bullish move is showing signs of weakness.
A W-shaped recovery pattern is still visible on the chart. This pattern suggests buyers have stepped in twice at a similar low price. For a breakout to occur, the price would need to rise above a key level near $0.135.
However, capital flow data is turning negative. The Chaikin Money Flow indicator, which tracks institutional and large investor activity, briefly showed money entering HBAR. That positive signal has now faded, indicating a lack of sustained buying pressure from major players.
Whale behavior also suggests caution. Large holders have maintained their positions but have not significantly increased their holdings during the recent price dip. This hesitation to buy more is often a sign of uncertainty about an immediate price surge.
Despite these concerns, the price has not collapsed. This is due to dip buying from smaller investors at the $0.102 level. Their activity is providing temporary support and preventing a steeper decline.
Market sentiment, however, has deteriorated sharply. Data shows a 94% drop in positive sentiment, a more severe decline than in previous corrections. This indicates a significant loss of optimism among traders.
The immediate outlook now depends on a narrow price range. If HBAR cannot hold above the $0.102 support level, a breakdown becomes more likely. Conversely, a recovery in capital flows and renewed whale buying would be needed to support a sustainable breakout above $0.135.
